About Distributions

Probability distributions are used in some Isight components to characterize the possible values of an uncertain random variable. Random variables will vary around a specified mean or nominal value following a defined distribution of values based on prescribed probabilities for those values.

For a given random variable X, the probability that X will take on a value X is defined by the probability density function for that random variable:

fX(x)=Pr[X=x],

where fX(x)0 for all x. The probability that the random variable X will take on a value less than a specified threshold value x is defined by the distribution function for that random variable, often also termed the cumulative distribution function:

FX(x)=Pr[Xx],

where 0 0FX(x)1 for all x. For a continuous random variable X, the probability density function, fX(x), and cumulative distribution function, FX(x), are related as follows:

FX(x)=xf(t)dtfX(x)=d(FX(x))dx.

The probability density and cumulative distribution functions for a given probability distribution are generally defined as a function of one or more distribution parameters that define the location, shape, or dispersion of the distribution. The following are given for each distribution type:

  • the probability density and cumulative distributions, and

  • the translation between the distribution parameters and the mean and standard deviation statistics of a random variable.

Note: The integral in the previous equation becomes a summation for discrete random variables, where the summation is taken over the discrete probability values associated with the set of values for the random variable. Only the discrete-uniform type is supported in Isight.

The following nomenclature is used throughout this section:

X

random variable

fX(x)

probability density function

FX(x)

distribution function

μ

mean

σ

standard deviation

γ

Euler’s constant (Gumbel)

Γ

gamma function